Latest Coral Election Forecast sees Tories and Labour losing ground

ENDS

Notes to Editors:

The Coral Election Forecast (CEF)  is a mathematical model that uses Coral’s odds on all 650 constituencies to calculate the likely chances of each party winning each seat which then culminates in a predicted total seat outcome for each party on Election Day.  As the odds for constituencies alter so the CEF forecast will alter.

Here is how the weekly CEF has changed over the last three weeks.

Coral Election Betting Forecast Tracker:

                        21^st April                              14^th April                             7^th April

Con                        278                                         284                                         285

Lab                         270                                         276                                         264

SNP                        48                                           36                                           45

LD                           26                                           26                                           27

UKIP                        5                                              6                                              7

PC                           3                                              2                                              2

Green                      1                                              2                                              2

Other                     19                                           18                                           18

Coral Election Betting:

**To Be UK Prime Minister on June 1st

5-6 Ed Miliband (from Evs), Evs David Cameron (from 4-5), 16-1 Any other person

**Party To win most seats

4-9 Conservatives, 7-4 Labour, 250-1 UKIP, 1000-1 Liberal Democrats, Green Party

**To win an overall majority

1-10 Hung Parliament, 13-2 Conservatives, 20-1 Labour, 250-1 UKIP, 1000-1 Liberal Democrats

**Make up of next government

5-4 Coalition involving Liberal Democrats, 8-1 Coalition involving the SNP, 14-1 Coalition involving UKIP, 16-1 Coalition involving the Greens

**Two elections in 2015

11-4 Yes, 1-4 No

** Conservative Seats

5-6          284 or more seats

5-6          283 or fewer seats

** Labour Seats

8-11       267 or more seats

Evs         266 or fewer seats

** SNP Seats

Evs         51 or more seats

8-11       50 or fewer seats

** Lib Dem Seats

5-6          26 or more seats

5-6          25 or fewer  seats

** UKIP seats

5-6          4 or more seats

5-6          3 or fewer seats