Coral Election Forecast sees Tories and SNP on the up

ENDS

Notes to Editors:

The Coral Election Forecast (CEF)  is a mathematical model that uses Coral’s odds on all 650 constituencies to calculate the likely chances of each party winning each seat which then culminates in a predicted total seat outcome for each party on Election Day.  As the odds for constituencies alter so the CEF forecast will alter.

Here is how the weekly CEF has changed over the last three weeks.

Coral Election Betting Forecast Tracker:

                         28^th April             21^st April              14^th April             7^th April

Con                        282                         278                         284                         285

Lab                         264                         270                         276                         264

SNP                        53                           48                           36                           45

LD                           25                           26                           26                           27

UKIP                      3                              5                              6                              7

PC                           3                              3                              2                              2

Green                   1                              1                              2                              2

Other                    19                           19                           18                           18

Coral Election Betting:

**To Be UK Prime Minister on June 1st

8-13 Ed Miliband (from 4-7), 5-4 David Cameron (from 11-8), 16-1 Any other person

**Party To win most seats

2-7 Conservatives (from 4-9), 5-2 Labour (from 7-4), 250-1 UKIP, 1000-1 Liberal Democrats, Green Party

**To win an overall majority

1-10 Hung Parliament, 11-2 Conservatives (from 13-2), 25-1 Labour (from 20-1), 250-1 UKIP, 1000-1 Liberal Democrats

**Make up of next government

5-4 Coalition involving Liberal Democrats, 8-1 Coalition involving the SNP, 16-1 Coalition involving UKIP, 16-1 Coalition involving the Greens

**Two elections in 2015

11-4 Yes, 1-4 No

** Conservative Seats

5-6          284 or more seats

5-6          283 or fewer seats

** Labour Seats

8-11       267 or more seats

Evs         266 or fewer seats

** SNP Seats

Evs         51 or more seats

8-11       50 or fewer seats

** Lib Dem Seats

5-6          26 or more seats

5-6          25 or fewer  seats

** UKIP seats

6-5          4 or more seats

8-13        3 or fewer seats