Dubai World Cup: Trend guide and key pointers

7/10didn’t win last time out

Weknow that a recent prep-run is important ahead of the race. However, finishingin the winners’ enclosure on that run isn’t as crucial as you might think.

ThunderSnow, who won the Dubai World Cup in both 2018 and 2019, is testament to that.The Godolphin star finished second in the run immediately prior to his successboth times.

7/10had won at Meydan before

Peoplesay familiarity breeds contempt. Not when it comes to this race. Seven of thelast 10 winners had raced at Meydan before, which suggests course knowledge isuseful.

Ofthose currently set to line up, only Benbatl (six), Gronkowski (four) andMattherhorn (two) have raced at Meydan before. Curiously, all three of thoseare formerly British-trained too.

7/10were four or five-year-olds

Youngerhorses have a much better strike rate in the Dubai World Cup. Four and fiveyear-olds account for each of the last four winners and seven of the last 10.

Onlyone eight-year-old has ever won the race, Prince Bishop in 2015, whileseven-year-olds only boast a marginally better record with two wins from 24editions of the contest.

5/10went off at 10/1 or bigger

Thosenear the head of the market have fared pretty well in recent years. The lastfour winners have gone off at short enough prices of 8/1, 4/1, 1/3 and 15/8.

However,Thunder Snow, Arrogate and California Chrome were all either star horses or hadan affinity with the track. None of this year’s contingent can truly boastsimilar quality.

Thatcould mean another big price winner, like Prince Bishop at 14/1 in 2015. Withfive of the last 10 winners going in at an SP of 10/1, it’s not something we’reruling out.

4/10had a low-medium draw

Thedraw is all-important in a race like this. History shows you don’t want a horsetoo close to the running rail, with the outer stalls fairing best over the lastdecade.

ThunderSnow (x2), Arrogate and California Chrome, each of the last four winners, weredrawn in 11, 10, 9 and 11 respectively. Only four contenders have won fromstall six or lower.

View the latest Dubai World Cup odds.

Allodds and markets correct as of date of publication