Pacquiao v Ugas betting tips: Manny refuses to pass the torch

Reclaiming his title?

Pacquiao claimed the WBA ‘super’ title with a points win over Keith Thurman in July 2019, but the governing body has since stripped him of the belt, elevating Ugas to ‘super’ champion in January.

Seven years Pacquaio’s junior, Ugas has lost just once since 2014 and that was a split decision against Shawn Porter in March 2019. He has gone 3-0 since then, while Pacquiao has not fought since July 2019.

Ugas is 11/4 to retain his title, while a draw or technical draw is on offer at 20/1.

This will be the Filipino’s 72nd professional fight and his biggest test is not facing an opponent who has a different style – Spence is a southpaw, Ugas is an orthodox fighter – it is age and conditioning for a 12-round bout.

Both are aggressive, offensive fighters and Ugas may be able to separate himself from Pacquiao in the later rounds. Ugas is 9/2 to win on points in Pacquiao v Ugas betting tips and 33/1 to win in rounds 10-12.

Writing on the wall?

The Cuban has never lost by knockout and it is 6/4 for Pacquiao to win by a KO or a TKO or a disqualification.

Likewise, Pacquiao hasn’t been knocked out since losing to Juan Manuel Marquez in 2012.

The Pacquiao v Ugas odds show Ugas at 9/1 to win by a KO or TKO or a disqualification.

If he looks poor and loses or struggles to win, Pacquiao will likely hang up his gloves. He will see the writing on the wall and won’t want to get beaten up by Spence if, and when, he returns.

That said, should he win – and it is 4/6 that this fight goes the distance in Pacquiao v Ugas betting tips – he will likely call out Floyd Mayweather for a rematch, as he struggles to live with that unanimous verdict defeat six years ago.

There is little chance of that rematch happening, as Mayweather looked much older than his 44 years against YouTuber Logan Paul recently and would be fodder for Pacquiao, who is 11/8 to beat Ugas on points.

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All odds and markets correct as of date of publication