Croatia v Wales: Tough start to life without Bale

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Croatia v Wales betting odds, Euro 2024 qualifying, football

Wales start their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign with a tough assignment against Croatia in Split on Saturday.

Croatia are 4/7 favourites after finishing third at the 2022 World Cup, while Wales are rebuilding after the departures of several key players since the tournament in Qatar.

Here we look at the main talking points surrounding the Group D fixture and the latest Croatia v Wales betting odds.

Life without Bale

How do you solve a problem without Gareth Bale?

On the back of a disappointing World Cup where they failed to win a game and finished bottom of the group, Wales have lost their talismanic captain, record goalscorer and most capped player.

Bale was so often the difference for Wales, especially in the big games. Nottingham Forest forward Brennan Johnson is seen as Bale’s natural heir but he is out injured and they are surely impossible boots to fill anyway, hence Wales starting their campaign as 11/2 underdogs.

In Bale’s absence, Kieffer Moore is seen as the biggest goal threat but even he is 10/3 to find the net, while Millwall forward Tom Bradshaw is next in the anytime goalscorer betting at 7/2.

Bradshaw is back in the Wales squad at the age of 30 after spending five years in the international wilderness.

The striker has scored seven goals in eight games to fire the Lions’ play-off push and was named February’s EFL Championship player of the month.

Return of captain Ramsey

The retirement of Bale, as well as Chris Gunter, Joe Allen and Jonny Williams quitting the international scene, has left Wales in a transitional phase and five uncapped players are in the squad.

Aaron Ramsey is captain again after first being handed the role as a 20-year-old by Gary Speed.

Ramsey was relieved of the captaincy within 18 months by Speed’s successor Chris Coleman, and his subsequent experience makes him far better suited to the role this time.

Page scrutiny

Wales manager Rob Page says mistakes were made at the World Cup and that he has addressed them before the start of Euro 2024 qualification.

High on the list of Welsh errors in Qatar was tactical naivety as the lack of numbers in midfield allowed the opposition to play through Wales at will.

Page has credit in the bank after steering Wales to a first World Cup in 64 years, but that will quickly disappear if the European Championship campaign hits the buffers.

Majestic Modric

When Bale retired, Wales fans had good reason to utter: ‘Why not Luka Modric?’

Bale’s former Tottenham and Real Madrid teammate has plotted Wales’ downfall in previous World Cup and European Championship qualifiers.

Now 37 and still strutting his stuff at Real Madrid, Modric has decided to carry on playing for Croatia ahead of this summer’s Nations League finals.

A decision on whether he continues until the Euro 2024 finals will be made at a later date.

Winless Wales

Wales have never beaten Croatia in six attempts. Croatia have won four of those games, starting with a 2-0 Osijek friendly success in May 2010.

Wales lost both 2014 World Cup qualifiers – 2-0 away and 2-1 at home – and suffered a 2-1 defeat in Osijek in Euro 2020 qualifying.

Bale’s equaliser gave Wales a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture in Cardiff, the same scoreline when the two nations met for the first time in a Varazdin friendly in 2002.

The visitors are 11/4 to earn a point while both teams to score for a fourth successive meeting is 23/20.

There have been exactly two goals scored in four of the six meetings and the same outcome is 23/10 in the Croatia v Wales betting odds.

View the latest football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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