Derby County vs Southampton: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Coral's detailed preview for Derby County vs Southampton in the Championship. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

• Fixture: Derby County vs Southampton

• Date: Saturday, 04 October 2025

• Kick-off: 15:00 BST

• Venue: Pride Park Stadium

Match Prediction: Derby County 1-1 Southampton

Derby County's recent form suggests a team that can hold their own, with three draws and a win in their last five league matches. They've shown resilience, particularly in away games, managing to secure points against Wrexham and West Bromwich Albion. 

Southampton have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five Championship outings. The Saints have struggled to convert draws into wins, which could be a concern against a Derby side that knows how to grind out results.

The match could hinge on Derby's ability to exploit Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in their recent loss to Hull City. Southampton's attacking threat, led by players like Armstrong, could test Derby's backline, but their inconsistent form might hinder their ability to break down a well-organised Derby defence. 

Expect a closely contested match where Derby's recent solidity might just give them the edge.

Derby County have shown a commendable level of consistency in their recent performances, with three draws and a win in their last five games. Their ability to secure points away from home, including a victory against West Bromwich Albion, indicates a team that can perform under pressure. 

This form could boost their confidence going into the match against Southampton, where they will look to continue their solid defensive displays and capitalise on any opportunities that arise.

• Draw: 1-1 vs Charlton Athletic (H)

• Draw: 1-1 vs Wrexham (A)

• Loss: 0-1 vs Preston North End (H)

• Win: 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion (A)

• Draw: 2-2 vs Ipswich Town (A)

Southampton's recent form has been less convincing, with only one win in their last five league matches. Their inability to convert draws into wins, as seen in their games against Middlesbrough and Portsmouth, suggests a team struggling to find the cutting edge needed to secure victories. 

This inconsistency could be a significant factor against a Derby side that has shown resilience and the ability to grind out results. Southampton will need to improve their defensive solidity and find more clinical finishing if they are to overcome Derby.

• Win: 2-1 vs Sheffield United (A)

• Draw: 1-1 vs Middlesbrough (H)

• Loss: 1-3 vs Hull City (A)

• Draw: 0-0 vs Portsmouth (H)

• Draw: 2-2 vs Watford (A)

The head-to-head record between Derby County and Southampton shows a slight edge to Southampton, with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters. The most recent match in 2012 saw Southampton dominate with a 4-0 victory, while the other games were closely contested, with three of the five matches ending in draws or with a one-goal margin. 

This history suggests that while Southampton have had the upper hand in the past, Derby County are capable of competing closely with them.

• Southampton 4-0 Derby County (18 Feb 2012)

• Derby County 1-1 Southampton (15 Oct 2011)

• Southampton 1-1 Derby County (10 Mar 2009)

• Derby County 0-1 Southampton (23 Aug 2008)

• Derby County 2-3 Southampton (15 May 2007)

• Rhian Brewster (Groin) - Out

• Liam Thompson (Hip) - Out

• Corey Blackett-Taylor (Hamstring) - Out

• Curtis Nelson (Knee) - Out

• Owen Beck (Hamstring) - Doubt

• Welington (Ankle) - Out

• Cameron Archer (Hamstring) - Out

• Samuel Udozie (Knock) - Doubt

• Flynn Downes (Illness) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Zetterström, Johnston, Sanderson, Elder, Clarke, Travis, Adams, Clark, Morris, Brereton, Agyemang 

Derby's predicted lineup suggests a focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure while relying on the creativity and goal-scoring threat of players like Brereton and Clark. Their recent form indicates a team that can effectively balance defence and attack, which could be crucial against Southampton.

• Predicted lineup: McCarthy, Edwards, Wood, Quarshie, Manning, Jander, Charles, Fellows, Azaz, Armstrong, Stewart

Southampton's predicted lineup highlights their intent to utilise the attacking prowess of Armstrong and Stewart, supported by the creativity of Azaz. However, their recent inconsistent results suggest that they will need to improve their defensive organisation to counter Derby's threats.

• Agyemang vs Wood: This duel will see Derby's forward Agyemang looking to outmanoeuvre Southampton's defender Wood, who will be key in stopping Derby's attacks.

• Travis vs Jander: Derby's midfielder Travis will face off against Southampton's Jander, with both players likely to be central to their teams' midfield battles.

• Brereton (Derby County): Brereton's creativity and goal-scoring ability make him a pivotal player for Derby, capable of unlocking Southampton's defence.

• Charles (Southampton): Charles's role in midfield is crucial for Southampton, providing the link between defence and attack and helping to control the game's tempo.

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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.